Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 2.140623 2.453391 2.798226 3.206999 3.678858 4.207051 4.844004
2025-06-15 1.648158 2.063528 2.565351 3.217983 4.046934 5.068176 6.427141
2025-06-22 1.350419 1.794421 2.365031 3.155473 4.227528 5.638672 7.649865
2025-06-29 1.155131 1.610679 2.226242 3.124059 4.409099 6.195571 8.891030
2025-07-06 0.998540 1.450772 2.088640 3.061136 4.519290 6.644779 10.015184
2025-07-13 0.942174 1.421702 2.125386 3.243197 4.993319 7.659851 12.090200
2025-07-20 0.853072 1.331043 2.057453 3.254260 5.201759 8.288950 13.638058
2025-07-27 0.799293 1.286856 2.052630 3.358438 5.562236 9.189523 15.730819
2025-08-03 0.731593 1.211936 1.989326 3.357281 5.744475 9.811837 17.422627
2025-08-10 0.668774 1.137671 1.918032 3.332180 5.878582 10.360570 19.044598
2025-08-17 0.608515 1.061097 1.834207 3.274309 5.944911 10.791587 20.496486
2025-08-24 0.574449 1.026375 1.818455 3.334561 6.229271 11.644769 22.850230
2025-08-31 0.536483 0.985196 1.794779 3.392813 6.546584 12.654384 25.774772
2025-09-07 0.494339 0.932698 1.746577 3.402843 6.780800 13.552267 28.653983
2025-09-14 0.448142 0.866917 1.665298 3.336628 6.851136 14.126543 30.931628
2025-09-21 0.411304 0.815021 1.604596 3.303317 6.982898 14.841897 33.627265
2025-09-28 0.375185 0.760478 1.532385 3.236603 7.033306 15.387040 36.017815
2025-10-05 0.368214 0.764650 1.579634 3.429643 7.677782 17.329566 42.024597
2025-10-12 0.344950 0.732012 1.546301 3.441375 7.913060 18.370980 45.999114
2025-10-19 0.332163 0.720420 1.556465 3.551850 8.391992 20.049520 51.869126
2025-10-26 0.311504 0.689286 1.520386 3.550622 8.602542 21.106293 56.287489
2025-11-02 0.290838 0.655989 1.475922 3.524003 8.746722 22.016817 60.464691
2025-11-09 0.269635 0.619312 1.419926 3.462635 8.794879 22.687526 64.086804